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<channel><title><![CDATA[Gary Ling, Digital Producer, Data Monetiser, Political Savant, Information Economist, Solution Seller, Business Strategist. - Ballsy Thinking]]></title><link><![CDATA[http://www.garyling.com/ballsy-thinking]]></link><description><![CDATA[Ballsy Thinking]]></description><pubDate>Tue, 07 Jan 2025 08:17:14 +0000</pubDate><generator>Weebly</generator><item><title><![CDATA[Yippee, it's an Edna The Eagle Brexit!]]></title><link><![CDATA[http://www.garyling.com/ballsy-thinking/yippee-its-an-edna-the-eagle-brexit]]></link><comments><![CDATA[http://www.garyling.com/ballsy-thinking/yippee-its-an-edna-the-eagle-brexit#comments]]></comments><pubDate>Wed, 28 Nov 2018 14:13:15 GMT</pubDate><category><![CDATA[Brexit]]></category><guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.garyling.com/ballsy-thinking/yippee-its-an-edna-the-eagle-brexit</guid><description><![CDATA[       As she tours the country selling Her Brexit plan (and she owns it), perhaps the most uplifting thing for the Prime Minister about the current state of Brexit negotiations is the widespread praise that she has elicited for her efforts. &ldquo;She&rsquo;s a real trier,&rdquo; &ldquo;She has so many facts and things in her head&rdquo; (said my Mum), &ldquo;Does she sleep?&rdquo; are just some of the comments I've heard on my travels. Whatever the actual result, Britain can take some comfort  [...] ]]></description><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div><div class="wsite-image wsite-image-border-none " style="padding-top:0px;padding-bottom:0px;margin-left:0px;margin-right:0px;text-align:center"> <a> <img src="http://www.garyling.com/uploads/1/3/7/9/13799627/edna-the-eagle-3_orig.png" alt="Picture" style="width:auto;max-width:100%" /> </a> <div style="display:block;font-size:90%"></div> </div></div>  <div class="paragraph"><font color="#2a2a2a">As she tours the country selling <em>Her</em> Brexit plan (and she owns it), perhaps the most uplifting thing for the Prime Minister about the current state of Brexit negotiations is the widespread praise that she has elicited for her <em>efforts</em>. &ldquo;She&rsquo;s a real trier,&rdquo; &ldquo;She has so many facts and things in her head&rdquo; (said my Mum), &ldquo;Does she sleep?&rdquo; are just some of the comments I've heard on my travels. Whatever the <em>actual</em> result, Britain can take some comfort in the fact that Mrs May gave it <em>Her</em> best. She&rsquo;s received a typically British reaction, where admiration for <em>effort</em> over <em>substance</em> has always been a lovable part of our national character. Just as former amateur ski jumper,</font> <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/film/2016/mar/28/eddie-the-eagle-film-olympic-ski-jumper-interview-michael-edwards" target="_blank">Eddie the Eagle, lives in the folklore of British Winter Olympia</a>, <font color="#2a2a2a">Mrs May&rsquo;s approach has been so amateurish that she&rsquo;s delivered an &ldquo;Edna The Eagle&rdquo; Brexit deal.</font><br /><br /><font color="#2a2a2a">Off-piste, the more grounded of us probably agree with former Tory donor</font> <a href="https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/11/24/theresa-may-incompetent-arch-remainer-bungling-brexit-says-former/" target="_blank">Rocco Forte who summed up the PM&rsquo;s efforts </a><font color="#2a2a2a">by saying that a &ldquo;third-rate negotiator in any middle-sized company&rdquo; would have done a better job of the negotiations.&nbsp;Here&rsquo;s 5 reasons why he's right:</font><br /><font color="#2a2a2a">1) <strong>Ludicrous Linear Timeline.</strong> From the beginning, the British Government accepted the linear timetable for negotiations put forward by the EU without the slightest quibble &ndash; sort the money, then agree withdrawal protocol, then negotiate free trade agreement (FTA). The deal to be done here was: agree the money (subject to successful FTA) and run the withdrawal and FTA negotiations concurrently. The women in my life are constantly telling me that men can&rsquo;t &lsquo;multi-task&rsquo;. In this case (not that I&rsquo;m completely accepting their premise), Mrs May acted like a man!</font><br /><font color="#2a2a2a">2) <strong>Lack of &lsquo;No Deal&rsquo; Preparations. </strong>No matter how much Remainers like to muddy the waters the verdict of the British people was clear. Leave the EU.</font><a href="http://www.garyling.com/ballsy-thinking/category/brexit" target="_blank"> As someone at the forefront of the campaign in Britain&rsquo;s most marginal constituency most of the EU Referendum debate</a><font color="#2a2a2a"> was about the effects of a &lsquo;No Deal&rsquo; since these were the terms on which those who wanted to Remain chose to engage (underpinned by &lsquo;Project Fear&rsquo;). As soon as she became PM and First Lord of the Treasury, May should have set a course for a No Deal Brexit. By not doing so she undercut her own stance that &lsquo;No Deal is Better Than A Bad Deal&rsquo;.</font><br /><font color="#2a2a2a">3) <strong>Irish Border</strong> <strong>Nonsense.</strong> Letting the EU back the UK into a corner over the Irish border was negligently amateurish in the extreme.</font> <a href="http://www.garyling.com/military-balls.html" target="_blank">As an army platoon commander I&rsquo;ve patrolled that border and it is impossible to secure </a><font color="#2a2a2a">(except in times of national emergency with great resources, focus and effort). Both the British and Irish governments have said that they will not have a hard border with fixed installations, so what&rsquo;s the issue? There is already currency, tax, VAT and (in some instances regulatory) differences. Allowing this issue to be caught up with the Northern Ireland &lsquo;Peace Process&rsquo; is shameful. IRA/Sinn Fein and 'Loyalist' gangs either want peace and democracy, or not, and should be dealt with accordingly.</font><br /><font color="#2a2a2a">4) <strong>Not Respecting the EU.</strong> Yep, that&rsquo;s right. The European Union made it clear from the start that the <em>Four Freedoms</em> (labour movement, capital, goods, services) were sacrosanct to the centrifugal forces of the &ldquo;European Project&rdquo;. By not respecting this Mrs May has spent two years driving us into a <em>cul-de-sac</em>. We can&rsquo;t say we weren&rsquo;t both warned and told what was on offer. In a tweet on 4 October 2018 Donald Tusk, President of the European Council, said the EU was offering Britain a "Canada plus plus plus" arrangement - something he dubbed "a true measure of respect". Mr Tusk wrote: "From the very beginning, the EU offer has been a Canada+++ deal. Much further-reaching on trade, internal security and foreign policy cooperation." Pity that &lsquo;respect&rsquo; was not reciprocated by Mrs May.</font><br /><font color="#2a2a2a">5) <strong>Whose Business? </strong>The government has lined up 'business groups' to support the <em>Edna Brexit</em> Deal. But who are these people and who do they really represent? Talking head Lobbyists tell us: Certainty. Certainty. Certainty. But strife and chaos travel hand-in-hand with business opportunity (particularly globally). It&rsquo;s just a question of whether business leaders are skilled and clever enough to take advantage. So-called &lsquo;leaders&rsquo; in my own (high tech) sector have consistently got in wrong on Brexit. Signing letters during the EURef claiming that we&rsquo;d be doomed if we didn&rsquo;t cuddle up to the EU.</font> <a href="http://www.garyling.com/digital-thinking/category/tech-city-movements" target="_blank">Like their approach to government supported High Tec Cities this line is pure bunkum and is not &lsquo;out the box&rsquo; thinking. </a><br /><font color="#2a2a2a">The way forward is clear. This Edna The Eagle Brexit deal must be rejected. There's still time to go for a Where Eagles Dare deal. </font><a href="https://www.bing.com/videos/search?q=Boris+Johnson+Speech&amp;&amp;view=detail&amp;mid=834378B558AE4DBBAB5D834378B558AE4DBBAB5D&amp;&amp;FORM=VRDGAR" target="_blank">You can watch the key elements of this here.</a><br /></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Lucky is, as Lucky does.]]></title><link><![CDATA[http://www.garyling.com/ballsy-thinking/lucky-is-as-lucky-does]]></link><comments><![CDATA[http://www.garyling.com/ballsy-thinking/lucky-is-as-lucky-does#comments]]></comments><pubDate>Sun, 27 Aug 2017 23:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category><guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.garyling.com/ballsy-thinking/lucky-is-as-lucky-does</guid><description><![CDATA[       I know that I live an enchanted life. I'm a healthy fat person (if that's not a contradiction in terms). My kids don&rsquo;t sniff glue. My wife fills in the gaps where I am inadequate in all departments (fortunately, there aren't THAT many!). I have a super bright sister and wider family network. I live in a great community, under the Rule of Law. I have people who call me a 'friend'. My work is mentally challenging and I am paid well for adding value when I can demonstrate a greater ret [...] ]]></description><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="wsite-youtube" style="margin-bottom:10px;margin-top:0px;"><div class="wsite-youtube-wrapper wsite-youtube-size-auto wsite-youtube-align-center"> <div class="wsite-youtube-container">  <iframe src="//www.youtube.com/embed/JS_60Vr3cBM?wmode=opaque" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe> </div> </div></div>  <div class="paragraph">I know that I live an enchanted life. I'm a healthy fat person (if that's not a contradiction in terms). My kids don&rsquo;t sniff glue. My wife fills in the gaps where I am inadequate in all departments (fortunately, there aren't THAT many!). I have a super bright sister and wider family network. I live in a great community, under the Rule of Law. I have people who call me a 'friend'. My work is mentally challenging and I am paid well for adding value when I can demonstrate a greater return several times what my clients or investors are prepared to invest in me or my entrepreneurial ventures. &nbsp;I am comfortable in my own skin and I am resigned to meet my maker at any time.&nbsp;Most significantly, in many ways, is that&nbsp;I know what I stand for, best illustrated by the description on my Twitter handle:<br />&nbsp;<br />&#128286; &#128177; &#128281; &#128284;Gary Ling<br />@garysballs<br />What do I stand for? #God #Helen #Family #Neighbours #Watford @Patriots #England #BallsyThinking #Liberty #Law #Opportunity #InEquality #Earth @SpaceX #Universe<br />&nbsp;<br />How can a Man be, if he doesn&rsquo;t know what he stands for?<br />&nbsp;<br />In this, I have to thank my parents Hazel and Jim Ling. Without their love and encouragement I don&rsquo;t think I&rsquo;d &lsquo;BE&rsquo; what I 'AM' at all.&nbsp; My mother is witty and street smart. A born trader and deal maker who can read people and is great to have in your corner when the poop hits the fan. Dad is a more cerebral character who in his time could &lsquo;fix&rsquo; almost anything mechanical or electrical. The pair of them love to communicate and are massive Silver Surfers. Digital Tablets have transformed their lives, although Dad still loves his Big Screen PC.<br />&nbsp;<br />Last week Mum called me and said: &ldquo;It&rsquo;s our 64th Wedding Anniversary Tuesday, what are YOU doing about it?&rdquo;&nbsp;<br />&nbsp;<br />&ldquo;Er, What would you like to do?" &nbsp;I stumbled.<br />&nbsp;<br />&ldquo;Dad says he wants to go back to where we used to hang out,&rdquo; came the reply.&nbsp;<br />&nbsp;<br />So the following Monday we drove down to Hersham and Chertsey in Surrey where Mum and Dad grew up, met, courted and got engaged. Mum remembered the Church they were married in 64 years ago and I shot the video above&hellip;<br />&nbsp;<br />I know just how lucky I am to have them around and in tip top form at their ages of 84 and 86 (I'll leave you to guess which is which).&nbsp; I cherish everyday that I can talk to them and am still learning from Mum especially as I get older.<br />&nbsp;<br />A while back when my 16 year old was being an idiot, I said to her in exasperation : &ldquo;Mum, I think I have a Moron as a Son!&rdquo;<br />&nbsp;<br />Quick as a flash she shot back.&nbsp; &ldquo;I know what you mean. I had one of those once!&rdquo;<br />&nbsp;<br />Lucky is&hellip;as lucky does.</div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[How does UKIP finance its #GE2017 manifesto social spending pledges]]></title><link><![CDATA[http://www.garyling.com/ballsy-thinking/how-does-ukip-finance-its-ge2017-manifesto-social-spending-pledges]]></link><comments><![CDATA[http://www.garyling.com/ballsy-thinking/how-does-ukip-finance-its-ge2017-manifesto-social-spending-pledges#comments]]></comments><pubDate>Thu, 15 Jun 2017 17:27:35 GMT</pubDate><category><![CDATA[ukip]]></category><guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.garyling.com/ballsy-thinking/how-does-ukip-finance-its-ge2017-manifesto-social-spending-pledges</guid><description><![CDATA[      Gary speaking at the #GE2017 BBC Three Counties Radio #WatfordDecides Debate substituting for UKIP consituency candidate Ian Green  [...] ]]></description><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="wsite-html5audio"><audio id="audio_622320300745163687" style="height: auto;" class="wsite-mejs-align-center wsite-mejs-dark" src="http://www.garyling.com/uploads/1/3/7/9/13799627/warford_hustings_35bil_reallocation_mp3.mp3" preload="none" data-autostart="no" data-artist="" data-track=""></audio></div>  <div><div class="wsite-image wsite-image-border-none " style="padding-top:10px;padding-bottom:10px;margin-left:0px;margin-right:0px;text-align:center"> <a> <img src="http://www.garyling.com/uploads/1/3/7/9/13799627/gary-3-counties-ge2017-hustings-6june2017_1_orig.png" alt="Picture" style="width:auto;max-width:100%" /> </a> <div style="display:block;font-size:90%">Gary speaking at the #GE2017 BBC Three Counties Radio #WatfordDecides Debate substituting for UKIP consituency candidate Ian Green</div> </div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[UK is over-governed, people confused]]></title><link><![CDATA[http://www.garyling.com/ballsy-thinking/uk-is-over-governed-people-confused]]></link><comments><![CDATA[http://www.garyling.com/ballsy-thinking/uk-is-over-governed-people-confused#comments]]></comments><pubDate>Tue, 13 Jun 2017 13:25:37 GMT</pubDate><category><![CDATA[uk politics]]></category><guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.garyling.com/ballsy-thinking/uk-is-over-governed-people-confused</guid><description><![CDATA[QUESTION: How will people vote in this election? On Local or national issues? Listen:    Gary speaking at the #GE2017 BBC Three Counties Radio #WatfordDecides Debate  substituting for UKIP consituency candidate Ian Green Click to comment below....  [...] ]]></description><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="paragraph">QUESTION: How will people vote in this election? On Local or national issues? Listen:<br /></div>  <div class="wsite-html5audio"><audio id="audio_566939276540005435" style="height: auto;" class="wsite-mejs-align-center wsite-mejs-dark" src="http://www.garyling.com/uploads/1/3/7/9/13799627/watford_hustings_ge2017_uk_is_overgovened.mp3" preload="none" data-autostart="no" data-artist="Gary Ling" data-track="UK Over-Governed 6June2017"></audio></div>  <span class='imgPusher' style='float:right;height:0px'></span><span style='display: table;width:auto;position:relative;float:center;max-width:100%;;clear:right;margin-top:0px;*margin-top:0px'><a href='http://www.garyling.com/uploads/1/3/7/9/13799627/gary-3-counties-ge2017-hustings-6june2017_orig.png' rel='lightbox' onclick='if (!lightboxLoaded) return false'><img src="http://www.garyling.com/uploads/1/3/7/9/13799627/gary-3-counties-ge2017-hustings-6june2017_orig.png" style="margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 10px; border-width:0; max-width:100%" alt="Gary Ling GE2017 Hustings" class="galleryImageBorder wsite-image" /></a><span style="display: table-caption; caption-side: bottom; font-size: 90%; margin-top: -10px; margin-bottom: 10px; text-align: center;" class="wsite-caption">Gary speaking at the #GE2017 BBC Three Counties Radio #WatfordDecides Debate  substituting for UKIP consituency candidate Ian Green</span></span> <div class="paragraph" style="display:block;">Click to comment below....<br /></div> <hr style="width:100%;clear:both;visibility:hidden;"></hr>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[We shouldn't allow 16/17 year olds vote]]></title><link><![CDATA[http://www.garyling.com/ballsy-thinking/we-shouldnt-allow-1617-year-olds-vote]]></link><comments><![CDATA[http://www.garyling.com/ballsy-thinking/we-shouldnt-allow-1617-year-olds-vote#comments]]></comments><pubDate>Mon, 12 Jun 2017 15:55:17 GMT</pubDate><category><![CDATA[ukip]]></category><category><![CDATA[uk politics]]></category><guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.garyling.com/ballsy-thinking/we-shouldnt-allow-1617-year-olds-vote</guid><description><![CDATA[Listen to my response to questions on jobs for young people and should 16 and 17 year olds be allowed&nbsp;to&nbsp;vote:          [...] ]]></description><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="paragraph">Listen to my response to questions on jobs for young people and should 16 and 17 year olds be allowed&nbsp;to&nbsp;vote:<br /></div>  <div class="wsite-html5audio"><audio id="audio_160716324342955810" style="height: auto;" class="wsite-mejs-align-center wsite-mejs-dark" src="http://www.garyling.com/uploads/1/3/7/9/13799627/watford_hustings_16_17_old.mp3" preload="none" data-autostart="no" data-artist="Gary Ling 6June17" data-track="Should 16 17 year olds get to vote"></audio></div>  <div><div class="wsite-image wsite-image-border-none " style="padding-top:10px;padding-bottom:10px;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;text-align:center"> <a> <img src="http://www.garyling.com/uploads/1/3/7/9/13799627/watford-hustings_orig.png" alt="Picture" style="width:auto;max-width:100%" /> </a> <div style="display:block;font-size:90%"></div> </div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Beating Back The "Terrorism of Things"]]></title><link><![CDATA[http://www.garyling.com/ballsy-thinking/beating-back-the-terrorism-of-things]]></link><comments><![CDATA[http://www.garyling.com/ballsy-thinking/beating-back-the-terrorism-of-things#comments]]></comments><pubDate>Mon, 08 Aug 2016 15:16:10 GMT</pubDate><category><![CDATA[terrorism]]></category><guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.garyling.com/ballsy-thinking/beating-back-the-terrorism-of-things</guid><description><![CDATA[       We are living in the age of the Terrorism of Things (ToT) where the perpetrators of terror weaponise ordinary, everyday objects to kill, maim and instil fear into the general population. A truck in Nice. A machete in Charleroi. Petrol bombs in Paris. Fires in national forests. A knife in Russell Square. How do we respond as civilians to this type of violence as we go about our everyday business?I ask this question because in 2012 I wrote a Ballsy Thinking piece entitled (see here) &ldquo; [...] ]]></description><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div><div class="wsite-image wsite-image-border-border-width:0 " style="padding-top:10px;padding-bottom:10px;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;text-align:right"> <a> <img src="http://www.garyling.com/uploads/1/3/7/9/13799627/1470670060.png" alt="Picture" style="width:auto;max-width:100%" /> </a> <div style="display:block;font-size:90%"></div> </div></div>  <div class="paragraph">We are living in the age of the Terrorism of Things (ToT) where the perpetrators of terror weaponise ordinary, everyday objects to kill, maim and instil fear into the general population. A truck in Nice. A machete in Charleroi. Petrol bombs in Paris. Fires in national forests. A knife in Russell Square. How do we respond as civilians to this type of violence as we go about our everyday business?<br /><br />I ask this question because in 2012 I wrote a Ballsy Thinking piece entitled (see here) &ldquo;ROI Terrorism, a Smouldering Issue&rdquo; which posited that smart terrorists don&rsquo;t need to go for massive spectaculars to get the scary media coverage that they crave. They can attack weak parts of our national life and infrastructure and get a much better &lsquo;terror return&rsquo; on their efforts. Whether because of the great work of our security services or an inability to organise it does seem that our terrorist foes have decided to adopt a variant of this approach &ndash; the &ldquo;Terrorism of Things&rdquo;. In fact, yesterday's Sunday Times informs us that "ISIS has called on supporters 'behind enemy lines' in Britain to embark on a wave of spontaneous attacks that the authorities will struggle to spot in advance." (see full article below)<br /><br />As a former soldier who fought terrorism (photo above) I carried a gun and went into certain areas to patrol British streets expecting to be attacked in any manner of ways. Today, I do not travel to London or to other western cities or towns expecting to be attacked but I am at least conscious of the possibility. Here is my personal strategy for being ready for the Terrorism of Things:<br /><br /><strong>1. Be aware of your surroundings.</strong> I am as bad as anyone at having my head in a screen but I watch who gets on the tube at every stop when I&rsquo;m underground and check out my surroundings before I sit down at a restaurant. A few years ago I would have added as a separate point here &ldquo;assess the likelihood of your location as a target&rdquo;. Are you in a government owned or militarily connected building for example. However, importantly, in the age of ToT anywhere can be a target. Just ask those enjoying the promenade in Nice.</div>  <div><div class="wsite-image wsite-image-border-medium " style="padding-top:5px;padding-bottom:10px;margin-left:0px;margin-right:10px;text-align:left"> <a> <img src="http://www.garyling.com/uploads/1/3/7/9/13799627/teddy-fat-men-quote-15jul2016_orig.png" alt="Picture" style="width:auto;max-width:100%" /> </a> <div style="display:block;font-size:90%"></div> </div></div>  <div class="paragraph"><strong>2. Plan your escape routes. </strong>I&rsquo;m sure you&rsquo;d be surprised to learn that I am probably not as fit as I used to be in my days as a soldier on counter-terrorism duty. But that doesn&rsquo;t mean I don&rsquo;t have the same instincts. No soldier likes to get caught without having options and neither should you when you are going about your business in cities or towns. If you stay in a hotel know where the fire escapes are. If you are in a restaurant spy the exits (don&rsquo;t forget a way out through kitchen - it saved punters during the recent Islamist attack in Bangladesh). Remember how many terrorist incidents you see where people have got out of the area of immediate danger and hidden somewhere (think the Tunisia beach attack where local shopkeepers took people in). Get away but if you are not sure of the area, go hide.<br /><br /><strong>3. Think about what objects that you can weaponise</strong>. Look around you right now. What can you use to get back at your attackers if you are trapped and cannot run away. First what can you throw at them to keep them back if they are not carrying firearms. Second, how can you hurt them in a close quarter struggle. Bog standard glasses are good things to throw &ndash; the heavier the better (bring back smoking as ash trays were heavy and tailor made for this purpose). If your attacker is advancing on you, knives, forks, bottles (especially those with long necks) make good weapons. Even a rolled up magazine or Sunday supplement can cause damage (stab rather than swing). In short, turn back a ToT attack if you can by using the same principles against an attacker.<br /><br />I am fortunate to be connected through LinkedIn with some of the best minds combating terrorism. I&rsquo;m not sure how many would endorse the content of this article. <strong>What I can endorse however, is the attitude that no matter how young or old you are, if your luck runs out (and let&rsquo;s face it the chances of you being caught up in a ToT attack are very, very low) and you can&rsquo;t get away, go down fighting.</strong> If as many people as possible do this, we can decrease the return on investment from Terrorism of Things attacks that our enemies hope to accrue and increase deterrence. That's got to be a good thing.<br /><br /><strong>From the Sunday Times 9 August 2016</strong><br /></div>  <div><div class="wsite-image wsite-image-border-none " style="padding-top:10px;padding-bottom:10px;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;text-align:center"> <a> <img src="http://www.garyling.com/uploads/1/3/7/9/13799627/sunday-times-isis-kiss-6aug16_orig.jpg" alt="Picture" style="width:auto;max-width:100%" /> </a> <div style="display:block;font-size:90%"></div> </div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Brexit: "Let's not get transfixed by complexity in #Brexit negotiations"]]></title><link><![CDATA[http://www.garyling.com/ballsy-thinking/brexit-dont-get-transfixed-by-complexity]]></link><comments><![CDATA[http://www.garyling.com/ballsy-thinking/brexit-dont-get-transfixed-by-complexity#comments]]></comments><pubDate>Thu, 21 Jul 2016 17:24:36 GMT</pubDate><category><![CDATA[Brexit]]></category><guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.garyling.com/ballsy-thinking/brexit-dont-get-transfixed-by-complexity</guid><description><![CDATA[       Four weeks after the #EURef BBC News 24 stopped by Watford's market to gauge peoples' reaction&nbsp;to the result and to ask about the government's future negotiating strategy...I just happened to be passing! [...] ]]></description><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="wsite-youtube" style="margin-bottom:0px;margin-top:0px;"><div class="wsite-youtube-wrapper wsite-youtube-size-auto wsite-youtube-align-center"> <div class="wsite-youtube-container">  <iframe src="//www.youtube.com/embed/vvmlXWLKdm0?wmode=opaque" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe> </div> </div></div>  <div class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Four weeks after the #EURef BBC News 24 stopped by Watford's market to gauge peoples' reaction&nbsp;to the result and to ask about the government's future negotiating strategy...I just happened to be passing!<br /></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[#Brexit in #Watford - Postscript CW]]></title><link><![CDATA[http://www.garyling.com/ballsy-thinking/brexit-watford]]></link><comments><![CDATA[http://www.garyling.com/ballsy-thinking/brexit-watford#comments]]></comments><pubDate>Wed, 29 Jun 2016 11:48:51 GMT</pubDate><category><![CDATA[Brexit]]></category><guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.garyling.com/ballsy-thinking/brexit-watford</guid><description><![CDATA[        A week ago I blogged on my key experiences of campaigning for #VoteLeave in Watford a barometer voting district in the UK bordering London. See "Gary Ling: If Watford #Brexits, Britain Exits" from Wed 22 June 2016 here.&nbsp; How do the key points in last week's analysis stand up post #Brexit? What is the Conventional Wisdom (CW) today:Prediction for Watford Result: A week ago I wrote: &ldquo;It will be very, very close. I&rsquo;m calling the result in Watford District as 51:49 for Leave [...] ]]></description><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div><div class="wsite-image wsite-image-border-none " style="padding-top:10px;padding-bottom:10px;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;text-align:center"> <a> <img src="http://www.garyling.com/uploads/1/3/7/9/13799627/gary-croc-photo_1_orig.jpg" alt="Picture" style="width:auto;max-width:100%" /> </a> <div style="display:block;font-size:90%"></div> </div></div>  <span class='imgPusher' style='float:right;height:948px'></span><span style='display: table;width:488px;position:relative;float:right;max-width:100%;;clear:right;margin-top:20px;*margin-top:40px'><a><img src="http://www.garyling.com/uploads/1/3/7/9/13799627/young-people-eu-ref.png?488" style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; none; max-width:100%" alt="Picture" class="galleryImageBorder wsite-image" /></a><span style="display: table-caption; caption-side: bottom; font-size: 90%; margin-top: -0px; margin-bottom: 0px; text-align: center;" class="wsite-caption"></span></span> <div class="paragraph" style="text-align:justify;display:block;">A week ago I blogged on my key experiences of campaigning for #VoteLeave in Watford a barometer voting district in the UK bordering London. <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/gary-ling-watford-brexits-britain-exits-gary-ling?trk=prof-post" target="_blank">See "Gary Ling: If Watford #Brexits, Britain Exits" from Wed 22 June 2016 here.</a>&nbsp; How do the key points in last week's analysis stand up post #Brexit? What is the Conventional Wisdom (CW) today:<br /><br /><strong>Prediction for Watford Result: </strong>A week ago I wrote: &ldquo;It will be very, very close. I&rsquo;m calling the result in Watford District as 51:49 for Leave on the day. If I&rsquo;m right Britain is headed out of the EU&hellip;&rdquo;.<br /><br /><strong>CW Now:</strong> Total Votes Cast: 46,635. <strong>LEAVE 23,419 (50.2%)</strong> &ndash; <strong>REMAIN 23,167 (49.6%).</strong> LEAVE&nbsp;majority&nbsp;252. <strong>Turnout 71.69%</strong><br /><br /><strong>++Key Experience 1</strong>. A week ago I wrote: &ldquo;The Remainians have been trying to turn the tide on the effectiveness of the views of so-called &lsquo;Experts&rsquo;&hellip; The extent to which they are successful in this as the campaign ends will determine the outcome.&rdquo;<br /><strong>CW Today:</strong> Clear that Government overplayed its hand when it controlled state communication machinery before the Purdah period. Vote Leave side was successfully able to make #ProjectFear tag stick all the way to the end.<br /><br /><strong>++Key Experience 2</strong>. A week ago I wrote: "In fact, as a digital strategist I regret to say that social media buzz is a side show or an irrelevance to many working people."<br /><strong>CW Today:</strong> Got a lot of criticism from friends particularly those who do social media for FMCG about this comment. Admit it was too sweeping. Of course, young people are&nbsp;influenced by social media. But a lot of people I met who normally never vote but said they would in this plebiscite were not, in my opinion, heavy SM consumers.<br /><br /><strong>++Key Experience 3</strong>. A week ago I wrote: "Since Watford is one of the most densely populated and diverse Districts outside of inner-City London, immigration is an important issue here."<br /><strong>CW Today:</strong>&nbsp;This important point still stands. Like many, I want to see an Australian-style points based system for UK immigration. If our EU trading partners don&rsquo;t understand that we don&rsquo;t accept the Free Movement of People principle, then both sides need to be prepared for tariffs on trade which will hurt European industry more than us in nominal terms (because we have a whopping trade deficit with them) but is counter intuitive, regrettable and will be a petulant move by the EU. Think this is unlikely but...&nbsp;Bottom Line: Free Movement of People must go.<br /><br /><strong>++Key Experience 4</strong>. A week ago I wrote: "From the start&nbsp;it was obvious that there was strong support for Brexit in the Asian community in Watford."<br /><strong>CW Today:</strong> Stand by this as it is doubtful Leave would have won here without Asian support. Though whether a majority of this Watford community voted Leave is hard to tell.<br /><br /><strong>++Key Experience 5</strong>. A week ago I wrote: "[The]&hellip;motivation of this [Young People] demographic to actually turn out and choose in this (to them) complex debate is questionable."<br /><strong>CW Today:</strong> &lsquo;Nuff said:<br /><br /><strong>++Key Experience 6</strong>. A week ago I wrote: "The determination of those who will definitely @Vote_Leave is remarkable. A plague of locusts could descend on Watford District tomorrow and Leave voters will fight their way through to the polling station. Thunderstorms are predicted Referendum day in this Town. Will that make even a marginal difference?"<br /><strong>CW Today:</strong> Thunderstorms afflicted Watford Voting District all afternoon on Referendum Day. When you win a campaign by 252 votes in a contest of tens of thousands the degree to which your supporters are motivated makes all the difference. So did the weather in Watford.<br /><br /><strong>++Key Experience 7</strong>. A week ago I wrote: "Remain or Leave this event in Watford and nationally will have some serious structural implications for UK politics in terms of the futures of all the main political parties."<br /><strong>CW Today:</strong> Watch the news!<br /><br /><strong>++Key 8</strong>. A week ago I wrote: "I have been involved in politics for many years and the people who say they &lsquo;Don&rsquo;t Care&rsquo; about voting this time around&nbsp;is the lowest I have ever seen in any plebiscite in my adult life&hellip; more people are thinking about the issues at least than for any campaign I have experienced including general elections."<br /><strong>CW Today:</strong> Record turnout. People who normally opt out of voting in party political elections made a critical difference in Watford. Despite what all the talking heads in the Westminster bubble and on TV tell us this really was a great exercise in democracy. People were discussing #EURef issues in the streets, in their homes, in places of work. Amazing. Those who say that people weren&rsquo;t informed are dead wrong. I can&rsquo;t think of an issue in my lifetime that got more public discussion. Hell, we went to War in Iraq with less public discussion. The worse criticism is those who say that the general public is too stupid to decide such things. This is woefully patronising and ridiculous. And Yes, I would have said this if the Remainians had won. Although I admit it would have been easier for the Leave side to accept the result since the European Union as a political project would have been doomed regardless of the result of UK #EURef. Brexit has given those countries in the East a chance to speak up against ever closer Union and take on the French-German Closer Union Axis.<br /><br /><strong>Final Big Learning For Me:</strong> Think you can understand the mood of the British people by sitting on your backside and viewing things through the Internet and accepting a lot of the pap that the global&nbsp;corporatist&nbsp;mass media outlets pump out? Forget it. On important decisions, particularly binary&nbsp;existential ones like the #EURef, hitting the streets and discussing things with people from all walks of life who you live with in your community can't be beat!<br /><br /><a href="http://www.garyling.com/watford-balls" target="_blank">Click here to read Gary&rsquo;s article on &ldquo;Why UK Watford is one of the most industrious places on earth&rdquo;</a><br /></div> <hr style="width:100%;clear:both;visibility:hidden;"></hr>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[#EURef Racism, Bigotry Huff Puff]]></title><link><![CDATA[http://www.garyling.com/ballsy-thinking/euref-racism-bigotry-huff-puff]]></link><comments><![CDATA[http://www.garyling.com/ballsy-thinking/euref-racism-bigotry-huff-puff#comments]]></comments><pubDate>Mon, 27 Jun 2016 15:28:07 GMT</pubDate><category><![CDATA[Brexit]]></category><category><![CDATA[ukip]]></category><guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.garyling.com/ballsy-thinking/euref-racism-bigotry-huff-puff</guid><description><![CDATA[       Distressing to see the claim of how racism and bigotry was a driving force behind a win for #Leave supporters in the EU Referendum. Of course, in their dismay that they lost a hard fought democratic campaign, the Remainians are quite entitled to link those who voted Leave to the&nbsp;isolationist ignorance and hate that has always existed amongst the scummier parts of our society. But the hundreds of Leavers I know voted that way for many good reasons &ndash; most of them to do with wanti [...] ]]></description><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div><div class="wsite-image wsite-image-border-none " style="padding-top:10px;padding-bottom:10px;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;text-align:center"> <a> <img src="http://www.garyling.com/uploads/1/3/7/9/13799627/ukip-breaking-point-poster_orig.jpg" alt="Picture" style="width:auto;max-width:100%" /> </a> <div style="display:block;font-size:90%"></div> </div></div>  <div class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><font color="#2a2a2a">Distressing to see the claim of how racism and bigotry was a driving force behind a win for #Leave supporters in the EU Referendum. Of course, in their dismay that they lost a hard fought democratic campaign, the Remainians are quite entitled to link those who voted Leave to the&nbsp;isolationist ignorance and hate that has always existed amongst the scummier parts of our society. But the hundreds of <em>Leavers</em> I know voted that way for many good reasons &ndash; most of them to do with wanting an Outward Looking, Global Trading Britain. None of them based on racism and bigotry.&nbsp;</font><br /><br /><font color="#2a2a2a">Interesting too that those who shout &ldquo;racism, bigotry&rdquo; use this UKIP poster as a way to illustrate their understanding of this phenomenon. In fact, the poster illustrates the result of Mrs Merkel&rsquo;s disastrous open door asylum policy last summer and the fact that many of these refugee asylum seekers seen crossing through Croatia will have Free Movement of People (FMP) access to Britain over the next decade unless the UK changes our current migration arrangements with the bloc and opts out of its FMP Treaty obligations as a part of the Brexit renegotiation. This is the mandate that the Government has after the Referendum result.<br /></font><br /><font color="#2a2a2a">The British people had the right to know the effects of Mrs Merkel&rsquo;s unilateral decision during the Referendum campaign and this poster reflects this.&nbsp; Last year Germany accept roughly 1.1 million asylum seekers. </font><a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/germany/12174803/Germany-admits-130000-asylum-seekers-lost-raising-fears-over-crime-and-terrorism.html" target="_blank"><font color="#2a2a2a">German authorities have lost track of appx 100,000 of these which is surely a matter of concern given the present security situation across Europe.</font></a><font color="#2a2a2a"> Under EU rules the remaining will have&nbsp;FMP rights after, on average five years, if they seek permanent residency from the date of being accepted for asylum depending on the EU country in which they were accepted.<br /></font><br /><font color="#2a2a2a">There is nothing &lsquo;racist of bigoted&rsquo; in pointing out that potentially some of these people will want to head to Britain if present trends are anything to go by. Evidence suggests that it is highly likely that a proportion of the 100,000 who the German authorities have lost track off are already trying to get to Britain illegally through French and Belgian ports.&nbsp; As Keynes is purported to have said: In the short run economics is all about incentives. In the Long run its about demography.&nbsp; Mass, uncontrolled, unplanned, unskilled immigration into Britain compresses wage incentives for those at the bottom rung of the ladder to work &ndash; that&rsquo;s why so many end up on 'Benefits Street'.&nbsp; It also compresses &lsquo;long run&rsquo; demographic economic trends which means that&nbsp;the UK economy faces housing shortages, lack of school places and an NHS at bursting point.<br /></font><br /><font color="#2a2a2a">Of course, an elected British government may decide to accept all people like those shown in the poster in addition to the 20,000 Syrians the UK is plucking from refugee camps in Jordan and Turkey over the course of this parliament at a cost of &pound;2 billion and the 30,000+ people who are granted asylum EVERY year in the UK.The British people may well vote for a government that proposes a migration policy where the UK welcomes more that the current 336,000 net migrants a year. But this should be explicitly spelled out and the people given that choice. It should not be influenced by unilateral decisions made by the German Chancellor. </font><br /></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[If Watford #Brexits, Britain Exits]]></title><link><![CDATA[http://www.garyling.com/ballsy-thinking/if-watford-brexits-britain-exits]]></link><comments><![CDATA[http://www.garyling.com/ballsy-thinking/if-watford-brexits-britain-exits#comments]]></comments><pubDate>Wed, 22 Jun 2016 15:51:39 GMT</pubDate><category><![CDATA[Brexit]]></category><guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.garyling.com/ballsy-thinking/if-watford-brexits-britain-exits</guid><description><![CDATA[       As the United Kingdom&rsquo;s EU Referendum campaign comes to a close, here are 8&nbsp;key takeaways from my 10 week part-time participation for the Leave side in the Hertfordshire town of Watford, one of 201 non-Metropolitan Districts in England that will declare a result 0330-0400hrs Friday morning.Key 1. Even taking into account that the Remain side had the huge advantage of the government&rsquo;s communications machine going for them, the national Leave campaign got off to a poor star [...] ]]></description><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div><div class="wsite-image wsite-image-border-none " style="padding-top:10px;padding-bottom:10px;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;text-align:center"> <a> <img src="http://www.garyling.com/uploads/1/3/7/9/13799627/last-day-brexit-2_orig.jpg" alt="Picture" style="width:auto;max-width:100%" /> </a> <div style="display:block;font-size:90%"></div> </div></div>  <div class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><font color="#3f3f3f">As the United Kingdom&rsquo;s EU Referendum campaign comes to a close, here are 8&nbsp;key takeaways from my 10 week part-time participation for the <em>Leave</em> side in the Hertfordshire town of Watford, one of 201 non-Metropolitan Districts in England that will declare a result 0330-0400hrs Friday morning.<br /></font><br /><span></span><font color="#3f3f3f"><strong>Key 1</strong>. Even taking into account that the Remain side had the huge advantage of the government&rsquo;s communications machine going for them, the national Leave campaign got off to a <em>poor</em> start back in mid-April when the @Vote_Leave organisation was officially designated. Crucially however, one thing that really struck home with the Watford public was the #ProjectFear story line. From my first weekend on the Leave stall in the Town Centre, &lsquo;Government&rsquo;s #Scaremongering&rsquo; was something that people mentioned to me right off the bat. Of course, this will only prove to have been amazingly effective if the District scores for Brexit. The Remainians have been trying to turn the tide on the effectiveness of the views of so-called &lsquo;Experts&rsquo; ever since. The extent to which they are successful in this as the campaign ends will determine the outcome.</font><br /><span></span><font color="#3f3f3f"><strong>Key 2</strong>. Ten weeks of street stall conversations with random shoppers around the District does not a proper market research project make. Yet, my assumptions of the effects of&nbsp;&lsquo;significant events&rsquo; amplified by social media on people&rsquo;s choice in this Referendum were changed by my on-street interactions. I was concerned that President Obama&rsquo;s intervention in Week 3 was going to have a negative impact on Leave. On the contrary, the street reaction that weekend was broadly that he should &lsquo;keep his nose&rsquo; out. This was a surprise to me as was general anti-US feeling. Similarly, the brutal and tragic assassination of Jo Cox does not seem to have been a major topic on the streets these past two days despite social media frenzy. In fact, as a digital strategist I regret to say that social media buzz is a side show or an irrelevance to many working people.</font><br /><span></span><font color="#3f3f3f"><strong>Key 3</strong>. Since Watford is one of the most densely populated and diverse Districts outside of inner-City London, immigration is an important issue here. Many people walking past the&nbsp;Leave stall are eastern European immigrants who cannot Vote in this Referendum but whose increasing choice of Watford as a place to settle has&nbsp;influenced the decisions of people who can vote. Unquestionably the arrival of these new residents puts Watford&rsquo;s public schools, hospital and local GP surgeries under pressure and drives up Leave vote pledges.</font><br /><br /><span></span></div>  <div><div class="wsite-image wsite-image-border-none " style="padding-top:10px;padding-bottom:10px;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;text-align:center"> <a> <img src="http://www.garyling.com/uploads/1/3/7/9/13799627/watford-in-numbers-may2016-page-001_orig.jpg" alt="Picture" style="width:auto;max-width:100%" /> </a> <div style="display:block;font-size:90%"></div> </div></div>  <div class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><font color="#2a2a2a"><strong>Key 4</strong>. From the start&nbsp;it was obvious that there was strong support for Brexit in the Asian community in Watford. Many mentioned to me the discriminatory nature of the EU&rsquo;s free movement of people rules that allow EU citizens to enter the UK without visas while citizens from Commonwealth countries have to go through a harder, more restrictive visa process. Interestingly, the Mosques in Watford don&rsquo;t seem to be putting out an &lsquo;informal&rsquo; line on how to vote in this Referendum as far as I can tell from speaking to Muslims on the High Street. That&rsquo;s significant.<br /></font><br /><span></span><font color="#2a2a2a"><strong>Key 5</strong>. Many young peoples&rsquo; support for Remain is superficial at best. Those who stopped and spoke to us at the Leave stall asking questions left, in most cases, thinking seriously whether the celebrity fronted arguments pushed by the Remain side were as solid as they first thought. In any case the motivation of this demographic to actually turn out and choose in this (to them) complex debate is questionable.</font><br /><span></span><font color="#2a2a2a"><strong>Key 6</strong>. The determination of those who will definitely @Vote_Leave is remarkable. A plague of locusts could descend on Watford District tomorrow and Leave voters will fight their way through to the polling station. Many weekends, the Leave stall was almost side by side with a Remain one flying the EU flag. Can&rsquo;t say I saw much enthusiasm for the symbolism of the stars on blue in Watford. I have no doubt there is a solid and substantial Remain vote in Watford. Obviously, who turns out to vote on the day is critical. Thunderstorms are predicted Referendum day in this Town. Will that make even a marginal difference? Studies of weather affecting election outcomes say not.</font><br /><span></span><font color="#2a2a2a"><strong>Key 7</strong>. Remain or Leave this event in Watford and nationally will have some serious structural implications for UK politics in terms of the futures of all the main political parties. Many mainstream UK parties were split on the EU&nbsp;issue - some more publicly than others. I met some great people from across the political spectrum in this campaign and it&rsquo;s the first time I have ever delivered a political leaflet with a &lsquo;Green&rsquo; message!</font><br /><br /><span></span></div>  <div><div class="wsite-image wsite-image-border-none " style="padding-top:10px;padding-bottom:10px;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;text-align:center"> <a> <img src="http://www.garyling.com/uploads/1/3/7/9/13799627/canmadians-for-leave_orig.png" alt="Picture" style="width:auto;max-width:100%" /> </a> <div style="display:block;font-size:90%"></div> </div></div>  <div class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><font color="#2a2a2a"><strong>Key 8</strong>. I have been involved in politics for many years and the people who say they &lsquo;Don&rsquo;t Care&rsquo; about voting this time around&nbsp;is the lowest I have ever seen in any plebiscite in my adult life. This maybe because it&rsquo;s a simple binary decision which people who have a great disdain for party politics can engage in. I don&rsquo;t go so far as to say we&rsquo;ll see a whole bunch of Jehovah&rsquo;s Witnesses turning up at the polls but, generally speaking, more people are thinking about the issues at least than for any campaign I have experienced including general elections.</font><br /><br /><font color="#2a2a2a"><strong>Prediction</strong>: The conventional psephologist wisdom is that the closer to London a voter is the more likely they are to vote Remain. Watford borders Greater London and is often touted as the &lsquo;Gateway to the North&rsquo;. It is a barometer parliamentary seat and has voted&nbsp;for the party of government in every general election since 1974. After 10 weeks involved in the #EURef campaign here I can say with some certainty that things are very, very&nbsp;close as of today. The Remain camp need a larger margin here if they are to avoid Brexit as results sweep into London proper. Putting aside all my inbuilt bias as best I can, I&rsquo;m calling the result in Watford District as 51:49 for Leave on the day. If I&rsquo;m right Britain is headed out of the EU and into an Outward Looking, Global Trading future as an independent nation state.<br /></font><br /><a href="http://www.garyling.com/watford-balls" target="_blank">Click here to read Gary&rsquo;s article on &ldquo;Why UK Watford is one of the most industrious places on earth&rdquo;</a><br /><br /></div>]]></content:encoded></item></channel></rss>